Prediction Primer Open Polymarket

Polymarket glossary

Plain-English definitions of the terms you will see on Polymarket and in our guides.

Ask
The lowest price someone is currently willing to sell at.
Bid
The highest price someone is currently willing to buy at.
Close-only
A restriction status: you can close existing positions but not open new ones.
Dispute
A challenge to a proposed outcome. A first dispute triggers a new proposal; a second goes to a vote of UMA token holders.
Event
A group of related markets, e.g. all candidates in one election.
Expected value (EV)
The average result of a trade if repeated many times: probability-weighted payout minus cost.
Fee rate
The category constant in Polymarket's fee formula, e.g. 0.04 for politics.
Geoblock
Polymarket's restriction of users in certain countries or regions.
Implied probability
The probability suggested by a price: 30¢ implies 30%.
Kelly criterion
A formula for sizing bets in proportion to your edge.
Limit order
An order to buy or sell only at a set price or better.
Liquidity
How much can be traded near the current price without moving it.
Maker
A trader whose resting order is filled by someone else. Pays no fee.
Market order
An order that fills immediately at the best available prices.
Maker rebate
A daily payment to makers funded by a share of taker fees.
Outcome share
A token that pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 otherwise.
Polygon
The blockchain network Polymarket settles on.
Polymarket US
Polymarket's separate CFTC-regulated exchange for US residents.
Proposal
The first answer submitted to the oracle after an event, which can be challenged.
pUSD
Polymarket USD, the USDC-backed token used as trading collateral.
Redeem
Converting winning shares into cash balance after resolution.
Resolution
The final settlement of a market as YES, NO or another outcome.
Resolution source
The publication, agency or data feed named in the rules that decides the outcome.
Slippage
Getting a worse average price than expected because your order eats through the book.
Spread
The gap between bid and ask.
Taker
A trader whose order fills immediately against existing orders. Pays the fee.
UMA Optimistic Oracle
The system most Polymarket markets use to settle outcomes.

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