Prediction Primer Open Polymarket

Free Polymarket tools

Calculators that use Polymarket's real fee formula. No sign-up, nothing stored.

Tools

Polymarket fee calculator

Calculate the exact Polymarket taker fee for any trade by category, price and number of shares, using the official fee formula.

Tools

Polymarket profit calculator

Work out your Polymarket profit or loss before you trade: payout if you win, loss if you lose, selling early, taker fees and break-even probability.

Tools

Polymarket expected value calculator

Compare your probability estimate with the Polymarket price to find expected value per share on YES and NO, after taker fees.

Tools

Polymarket odds converter

Convert Polymarket prices in cents to implied probability, decimal, American and fractional odds, and back again, to compare with sportsbooks.

Tools

Kelly criterion position sizer

Size Polymarket positions with the Kelly criterion: enter price, your probability and bankroll to get full, half or quarter Kelly stake.

Tools

Polymarket arbitrage calculator

Check whether buying both YES and NO in a Polymarket market locks in a profit after Polymarket taker fees, and what to watch for across platforms.

Tools

Polymarket country checker

Search your country to see whether Polymarket is available, close-only or blocked in 2026, with a link to the full country guide.

Tools

Polymarket Perps fee calculator

Calculate Polymarket Perps trading fees by 30-day volume tier, maker or taker side and position size, including the top-tier maker rebate.

Tools

Polymarket referral earnings calculator

Estimate Polymarket referral income under the terms in force since May 2026: 10% of direct and 5% of indirect referrals' net fees for 30 days.